As per a recent study, the coronavirus situation in India is set to get worse. The cases in India likely to reach 8,00,000 cases by July 15th.
A team of data scientists from the University of Michigan has predicted the COVID-19 situation in the world and has placed India below Brazil which is the second-worst hit country in the world. With the relaxation in the country, the study has projected India to surpass many countries. Bhramar Mukherjee, a professor of biostatistics at the University of Michigan, said that,
“You cannot see the peak, it’s been pushed further in time. I wish I could be more positive but I think it’s going to be really hard over the next couple of months.”
India imposed it’s nationwide lockdown by the end of March when the cases were around 500 cases with the expectation of the curve will flatten but the cases kept on soaring. India lifted its lockdown or announced relaxed the lockdown from the 1st week of June while the cases were 9,000 cases per day. Throughout the lockdown, India has raised over the other countries and has become the fourth worst affected country behind the United States, Brazil, and Russia.
‘Live With Corona’
India is banking on the physical distancing and the herd immunity as people are allowed to move between the states. The ministry of health and the Indian Council of Medic Research did not comment on the report. Ramanan Laxminarayan, the director of the New Delhi and Washington DC-based Center for Disease Dynamics said,
“India can’t afford to have any more lockdown and, therefore, the strategy is to open up and deal with the virus – I think the slogan is live with the corona. You basically have to live with it until the vaccine arrives or there is herd immunity.”
India has a better fatality rate – the lowest in the world – 2.9% has been repeatedly pointed by the government. The low death rate might specifically because India has a young population who are less likely to fall ill. However, there are speculations on whether the data shows the full picture of the pandemic in the country.
Source: The Times of India
